Friday, April 1, 2016

How They Can Win: Each NL team's guide to a 2016 World Series title - SI.com

Los Angeles Dodgers: Get help for the starting rotation
It was never going to be easy for the Dodgers to fill the Zack Greinke-sized hole in their rotation. It got harder this spring, as Brett Anderson suffered a back injury that will sideline him for most of the first half and Scott Kazmir showed up missing 4 mph off his fastball. L.A. will start the year with a patchwork group behind Clayton Kershaw, but that's all right. To win, the team just needs to stabilize their rotation for the second half. Anderson, Hyun-Jin Ryu and Brandon McCarthy should all be healthy by then. Prospects Julio Urias and Jose De Leon will be pressing for rotation slots later in the season. This is the Dodgers, so you know they'll be in the market to make trades in July to bolster the staff—Tyson Ross, Julio Teheran and even pending free agent Stephen Strasburg could be available. L.A. can muddle through three months figuring out their pitching so long as they spend the final three months riding it.

San Diego Padres: Comebacks around the roster
After being the It Team of the 2014 off-season, the Padres crashed hard, going 74–88 and getting manager Bud Black fired. Perhaps chastened, GM A.J. Preller was relatively passive this winter, dealing closer Craig Kimbrel and staying away from the big-ticket acquisitions of Preller's first go-round. So for the Padres to win, they're going to have to lead the league in Comeback Player of the Year candidates. Wil Myers has to stay healthy, take to a new position (first base) and return to his '13 Rookie of the Year form. Jon Jay has to bounce back from a lost season—a .210 average in 79 games—to his usual .290 level. James Shields, Andrew Cashner and Fernando Rodney all have to pitch closer to their career norms than to last season's efforts. For a rebuilding team, the Padres have a lot of expensive veterans on the back end of their primes. Most of them will have to surprise for the Friars to move past their disappointing '15.

San Francisco Giants: Keep Denard Span on the field
The Giants' decision to sign centerfielder Denard Span to a three-year deal pulls together two interesting stats from 2015. The Nationals, Span's old team, were 36–25 when he started and 47–54 when he didn't. San Francisco, with its own injury issues in center, were 66–57 when Angel Pagan started, 18–21 when he didn't. For the Giants to end their long World Series drought, they'll have to keep Span on the field. He missed four months last year with back and hip problems, culminating in season-ending surgery in August. With a career .352 OBP and a 79% success rate stealing bases, he's one of the few true leadoff hitters in today's game. That makes him the missing piece in a San Francisco offense that was already as good as any NL team's from 2 through 8. When healthy, Span has been a good defensive player, and he's certainly an upgrade on the 34-year-old version of Pagan, who will switch to left in '16.

Complete list (SI.com)

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